ETH/USD $—
ETH Holdings 4,976,485
Staked (MAVAN) 3,701,589 · 74.38%
Annualized Yield $—
CESR APR 2.89%
Gross Margin ~97%
Supply Owned 4.12% of 120.7M ETH
Total Assets $12.9B
Cash+Equity $1.12B
As of Apr 25, 2026
Investment Thesis — April 2026

BMNR
Yield Shares

Two investor bases. One ETH accumulation machine. BMNR earns $—/year in real protocol yield from 3.7M staked ETH — enough to fund a 10–12% preferred dividend today, before adding a single external MAVAN client.

$—
Current annual yield
3,701,589 staked · 2.89%
—×
Coverage today
— income ÷ $120M obligation
0.36%
Debt-to-assets
$36M liabilities / $9.89B book assets
See live treasury
Live Treasury — Apr 25, 2026

The foundation is already built.

Real numbers from BMNR's SEC 10-Q (filed Apr 14, 2026), press releases, and on-chain staking data. Not projections. What exists today.

ETH Holdings
4,976,485
4.12% of total ETH supply (120.7M)
Staked on MAVAN
3,701,589
74.38% of holdings currently staked
Annualized Staking Revenue
$—
Live run rate · 3,701,589 ETH × 2.89%
Staking Gross Margin
~97%
$10.2M rev / $306K cost of sales (10-Q)
Total Assets
$12.9B
ETH + cash + strategic holdings (Apr 20)
Cash & Equity Stakes
$1.12B
$864M cash · 198 BTC · Beast + Eightco
5% of ETH supply target 82.5% complete · 1,058,515 ETH remaining
04,976,485 held now6,035,000 target
Staking deployment of holdings 74.38% staked · 1,274,896 ETH unstaked
03,701,589 staked4,976,485 held
Today (live)
$—
3,701,589 staked · 2.89% · live ETH
If 100% holdings staked
$—
4,976,485 staked · 2.89% · live ETH
At 5% target, fully staked
$—
6,035,000 staked · 2.89% · live ETH
The Structure

MSTR had the idea.
BMNR has the better engine.

MicroStrategy segmented its investor base — yield-seekers take STRC preferred, growth-seekers take MSTR common. BMNR can do the same. But the yield source is fundamentally different.

MSTR / STRC

Debt-funded dividends

  • STRC dividends sourced from ongoing debt issuance
  • BTC generates zero native yield — it just sits there
  • Dividend capacity collapses when debt markets tighten
  • Requires constant re-issuance to sustain the preferred loop
  • Market sentiment and credit spreads drive everything
  • No earnings. Pure financial engineering on a BTC treasury.
BMNR Yield Preferred

Protocol-native yield

  • $—/yr earned right now — real protocol income
  • ETH staking pays 2.89% APR continuously, 24/7 on-chain
  • MAVAN institutional fees add pure incremental margin on top
  • 97% gross margin — yield scales with almost no added cost
  • $36M liabilities on $9.89B assets — zero financing risk
  • Cash flow exists whether ETH is $800 or $8,000

The one-line version: MSTR had to borrow money to create a preferred dividend. BMNR's preferred can be funded by income it already earns — $—/year, growing automatically as the ETH stack approaches its 5% target, with MAVAN fees layering on top. The loop doesn't need debt to start or to sustain itself.

The Flywheel

A self-funding accumulation loop

Each stage feeds the next. The loop tightens as MAVAN external fee revenue scales.

ETH 4,976,485 4.12% supply Preferred capital in $500M–$2B at par Buy & stake ETH → MAVAN $— yield + fees growing → $394M+ Dividend paid 10–12% cash
Step 1

Issue preferred at par

Income investors get 10–12% annual cash dividend. No ETH price exposure. Zero equity dilution for common holders. Just yield backed by real protocol income.

Step 2

Buy more ETH. Stake on MAVAN.

Fresh capital goes directly into ETH → staked immediately. Now 74.38% deployed — up from 68.4% last month. Latest: $259M Coinbase staking deposit Apr 25.

Step 3

Yield covers the dividend

Live staking income already covers a $120M dividend obligation (current coverage: —× on $1B preferred at 12%) with surplus — before a single external MAVAN client.

MAVAN kicker — launched Mar 25, 2026

External fees = pure upside

Institutions pay BMNR ~10% on rewards for staking through MAVAN. Income on other people's ETH. No additional BMNR capital required. Every dollar is incremental.

Interactive Calculator

Does the dividend actually hold?

Pre-seeded with live holdings as of April 25, 2026. ETH price pulls live from Binance. Pick a scenario or drag the sliders.

Quick scenarios
Inputs
Output
ETH staked value
Own staking yield
MAVAN external fees
Total income
Dividend obligation
Surplus / deficit
Coverage ratio
Dividend coverage
1× breakeven
⚠ Dividend not fully covered. Add MAVAN fees or raise ETH price.
Live baseline
Loading live ETH price...
Stress Scenarios

What happens when ETH dumps?

Based on live holdings: 3,701,589 ETH staked · 2.89% APR. Against a $1B preferred at 12% = $120M/yr obligation. The yield is ETH-denominated — price drives dollar coverage directly.

ETH Price Staking Yield $1B @ 12% Obligation Surplus / Deficit Coverage MAVAN Needed Status
Real breakeven price

On currently staked ETH at 2.89%, the $120M obligation breaks even at ~$1,121 ETH — a level last seen in late 2022. That's a 50%+ decline from current levels, before MAVAN fees contribute anything.

The MAVAN safety net

If ETH hits $800, the gap is $34M. MAVAN would need to attract ~1.2M external ETH at 10% fees to bridge it. That's the institutional pipeline that matters most in a prolonged bear market.

$2B preferred ($240M obligation): Covered at ETH ≥ ~$2,180 on current staked alone — a price last seen in early 2025. Reachable downside without needing a single MAVAN client to close the gap.

The Strategic Play

Poaching STRC.
Starving MSTR's machine.

Not just a funding mechanism — a competitive moat move against the incumbent.

STRC Preferred

MicroStrategy
Dividend sourced from borrowed money
BTC earns zero native yield
Coverage collapses if BTC dumps + debt closes
Requires constant re-issuance to sustain loop
No earnings. Pure financial engineering.

BMNR Yield Preferred

BMNR · NYSE: BMNR
Dividend from $— in real earned income
ETH staking: 2.89% APR, always on, protocol level
Coverage improves as stack grows to 5% target
$36M liabilities / $9.89B assets — no financing risk
97% gross margin. Real cash flow.

The Consequence

Institutional income buyers — the ones who actually read coverage ratios and stress-test cash flow quality — have a rational reason to prefer BMNR preferred over STRC. Comparable yield. Materially lower structural risk. BMNR's dividend is backed by protocol income. STRC's is backed by a CFO's ability to issue debt in a down market.

If STRC capital rotates into BMNR preferred, MSTR loses the buyer base for its perpetual BTC-buying machine. Without STRC inflow, MSTR can't buy BTC. BMNR gains the capital and a relative accumulation advantage simultaneously. That's a funding mechanism and a strategic moat in the same move.

Full Analysis

The complete thesis is on Substack.

Four structural risks, the ETH-to-cash conversion mechanism, APR compression modelling, and the preferred term structure breakdown. Read the full piece on Alchemy Research.

Risk Analysis · Preferred Term Structure · APR Sensitivity
Risk 01 — ETH-to-cash conversion mechanism

Staking rewards arrive in ETH every ~6.4 minutes. Dividends must be paid in cash. The mechanism that bridges these two facts is the crux of whether institutional preferred buyers will actually...

Risk 02 — APR compression over time

CESR at 2.89% is a function of total ETH staked globally. As participation grows the per-validator yield compresses by protocol design. At 35% global participation rate the model shows...

Preferred Term Structure — what the covenants need to say

For institutional income buyers to commit, the term sheet requires explicit language on: conversion triggers, dividend priority waterfall, ETH price floor covenants, and MAVAN minimum fee commitments. Here is what that looks like in practice...

Alchemy Research · Substack
BMNR Preferred Shares — The Full Thesis
Risks, term structure, APR sensitivity & the case for institutional capital
Read on Substack
Sources
SEC 10-Q filed April 14, 2026 (Q2 FY2026: Dec 2025 – Feb 2026) · 8-K / Press Release April 20, 2026 (4,976,485 ETH / $12.9B treasury) · On-chain staking update April 25, 2026 (3,701,589 ETH staked · 74.38%) · Live price: Binance API · CESR 7-day: 2.89% · All projections illustrative. Not financial advice.